"These scenarios for nature include multiple possibilities of how our nature could develop in the future:
Baseline scenario. Business as usual scenario
Scenario 1: Traditions. Nature as a source of cultural identity
Scenario 2: Biodiversity. Return to wild nature
Scenario 3: Economy. Nature within a free-market environment
Scenario 4: Innovations. Smart utilization of ecosystem services
These multiple scenarios should serve as a base for the preparation of arguments and as a source of inspiration. However, they should not be perceived as plans, nor as a fully-fledged spectrum, that captures a representative range of possible and desired futures. Rather, the challenge for the future will be to go beyond and combine these approaches so that interest and care for nature can be linked to other societal goals. Nature conservation policies will need societal support, which will help to achieve the 2030 to 2050 goals (not only in this area). The exploration of these four scenarios and the ways they respond to the challenges of nature protection policy made us reflect on multiple themes, which should be subject to discussion to gain a wide societal support base. The future will require targeted policies, focusing on critical areas, species, and ecosystem services, which will halt the most dangerous impacts of biodiversity loss on individuals and society. "
Key Insights:
"For the future of our nature to be sustainable (or even desirable?), it is necessary to address the most important challenges which are perceived in several of the above-mentioned documents and referred to in the global biodiversity framework. They can be summarized as follows:
the natural challenge: the protection and enhancement of biodiversity as a fundamental prerequisite for the functioning of nature and thus society,
the economic challenge: sustainable use of the natural resources, ecosystem services, and the landscape by rationalizing production and consumption and transitioning into a circular economy,
the societal challenge: changing the development paradigm of the whole society, working together and the integration of various approaches and sectors."
https://www.enviroportal.sk/uploads/report/10641.pdf